Naphezu kokuqubuka okuphindaphindiwe kwe-COVID-19, ukululama komnotho womhlaba wonke okubuthakathaka, kanye nezingxabano zezepolitiki ezikhulayo, ukuhweba ngokungenisa nokuthumela kwamanye amazwe phakathi kwe-China ne-EU kusafinyelele ukukhula okuphikisanayo. Ngokusho kwedatha ekhishwe yi-General Administration of Customs muva nje, i-EU ibingumlingani wesibili ngobukhulu kwezohwebo waseShayina ezinyangeni eziyisishiyagalombili zokuqala. Inani eliphelele lokuhweba phakathi kwe-China ne-EU lalingu-3.75 trillion yuan, ukwanda konyaka nonyaka okungu-9.5%, okubalwa u-13.7% wenani eliphelele lokuhweba kwamanye amazwe laseShayina. Idatha evela ku-Eurostat ikhombisa ukuthi engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka, inani lokuhweba lamazwe angu-27 e-EU ne-China lalingu-413.9 billion euros, ukwanda konyaka nonyaka okungu-28.3%. Phakathi kwazo, ukuthunyelwa kwe-EU eShayina kwakungama-euro ayizigidigidi ezingu-112.2, kwehle ngo-0.4%; ukungeniswa okuvela eShayina kwakungama-euro ayizigidigidi ezingu-301.7, okwenyuke ngo-43.3%.
Ngokusho kochwepheshe abaxoxiswene nabo, lolu lwazi luqinisekisa ukuvumelana okunamandla kanye nekhono lomnotho kanye nokuhwebelana kwe-China-EU. Kungakhathaliseki ukuthi isimo samazwe ngamazwe sishintsha kanjani, izintshisekelo zomnotho kanye nokuhwebelana kwezinhlangothi zombili zisaxhumene kakhulu. I-China ne-EU kufanele zithuthukise ukwethembana kanye nokuxhumana kuwo wonke amazinga, futhi ziqhubeke nokufaka “izinzisa” ekuphepheni kwezintambo zokuphakelwa kwezimpahla ezimbili ngisho nezomhlaba wonke. Ukuhweba kwezinhlangothi zombili kulindeleke ukuthi kugcine ukukhula unyaka wonke.
Kusukela ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka, ukubambisana kwezomnotho nokuhweba phakathi kweShayina ne-EU kubonise ukuqina okukhulu kanye namandla. "Engxenyeni yokuqala yonyaka, ukuthembela kwe-EU ekuthengeni kweShayina kuye kwanda." UCai Tongjuan, umcwaningi eChongyang Institute for Financial Studies yaseRenmin University of China kanye nephini lomqondisi woMnyango Wocwaningo lweMacro, uhlaziye engxoxweni nentatheli evela kwi-International Business Daily. Isizathu esiyinhloko yingxabano ye-EU eRussia nase-Ukraine kanye nomthelela wezijeziso eRussia. Izinga lokusebenza lemboni yokukhiqiza ephansi liye lehla, futhi liye lancika kakhulu ekuthengeni kwempahla. IShayina, ngakolunye uhlangothi, ikwazile ukumelana novivinyo lobhubhane, kanti uchungechunge lwezimboni zasekhaya kanye nochungechunge lokunikezela kuphelele futhi kusebenza ngokujwayelekile. Ngaphezu kwalokho, isitimela sempahla phakathi kweShayina neYurophu siphinde salungisa izikhala kwezokuthutha zasolwandle nezomoya ezithinteka kalula yilolu bhubhane, saqinisekisa ukuthuthwa okungaphazanyiswa phakathi kweShayina neYurophu, futhi saba negalelo elikhulu ekubambisaneni kwezohwebo phakathi kweShayina neYurophu.
Kusukela ezingeni elincane, izinkampani zaseYurophu ezifana ne-BMW, i-Audi kanye ne-Airbus ziqhubekile nokwandisa ibhizinisi lazo eShayina kulo nyaka. Ucwaningo mayelana nezinhlelo zokuthuthukiswa kwezinkampani zaseYurophu eShayina lubonisa ukuthi u-19% wezinkampani zaseYurophu eShayina zithe zandise ubukhulu bemisebenzi yazo yokukhiqiza ekhona, kanti u-65% uthe zigcine ubukhulu bemisebenzi yazo yokukhiqiza. Imboni ikholelwa ukuthi lokhu kubonisa ukuzethemba okuqinile kwezinkampani zaseYurophu ekutshaleni imali eShayina, ukuqina kwentuthuko yomnotho yaseShayina kanye nemakethe yasekhaya eqinile esakhanga izinkampani zamazwe ngamazwe zaseYurophu.
Kuyaphawuleka ukuthi inqubekela phambili yakamuva yokwenyuka kwezinga lenzalo leBhange Elikhulu laseYurophu kanye nokucindezela kokwehla kwe-euro kungaba nomthelela omningi ekungenisweni nasekuthunyelweni kwamanye amazwe kwe-China-EU. “Umthelela wokwehla kwenani le-euro ekuhwebeni kwe-Sino-European usuvele uvele ngoJulayi nango-Agasti, futhi izinga lokukhula kohwebo lwe-Sino-European kulezi zinyanga ezimbili lehlile uma kuqhathaniswa nengxenye yokuqala yonyaka.” UCai Tongjuan ubikezela ukuthi uma i-euro iqhubeka nokwehla, izokwenza “Kwenziwe eShayina” Kubiza kakhulu, kuzoba nomthelela kuma-oda okuthumela ngaphandle kwe-China kwi-EU kwikota yesine; ngesikhathi esifanayo, ukwehla kwenani le-euro kuzokwenza “Kwenziwe eYurophu” kube yishibhile, okuzosiza ukwandisa ukungeniswa kwe-China okuvela e-EU, kunciphise ukuntuleka kokuhweba kwe-EU neShayina, futhi kukhuthaze ukuhweba kwe-China-EU sekulinganiswe kakhulu. Uma sibheka phambili, kuseyindlela ejwayelekile ye-China ne-EU yokuqinisa ukubambisana kwezomnotho kanye nokuhweba.
Isikhathi sokuthunyelwe: Septhemba 16-2022
