Nangona kukho ukuqhambuka okuphindaphindiweyo kwe-COVID-19, ukubuyiselwa koqoqosho lwehlabathi okubuthathaka, kunye neengxabano ezikhulayo kwezopolitiko, urhwebo lokungenisa nokuthumela impahla phakathi kwe-China ne-EU lusaphumelele ukukhula okuphikisanayo. Ngokwedatha ekhutshwe yi-General Administration of Customs kutshanje, i-EU yayiliqabane lesibini ngobukhulu kwezorhwebo laseTshayina kwiinyanga ezisibhozo zokuqala. Ixabiso lilonke lezorhwebo phakathi kwe-China ne-EU yayiyi-3.75 trillion yuan, ukunyuka konyaka nonyaka kwe-9.5%, okubangela i-13.7% yexabiso lilonke lezorhwebo langaphandle lase-China. Idatha evela kwi-Eurostat ibonisa ukuba kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, umthamo wezorhwebo wamazwe angama-27 e-EU kunye ne-China wawuyi-413.9 yeebhiliyoni zeerandi, ukunyuka konyaka nonyaka kwe-28.3%. Phakathi kwazo, ukuthunyelwa kwe-EU e-China yayiziibhiliyoni ezili-112.2 zeerandi, kwehle nge-0.4%; ukungeniswa kwempahla evela e-China kwakuyi-301.7 yeerandi zeerandi, kwenyuka nge-43.3%.
Ngokutsho kweengcali ezidliwanondlebe nazo, olu seti lwedatha luqinisekisa ukuhambelana okuqinileyo kunye nokukwazi koqoqosho lwe-China-EU kunye norhwebo. Nokuba imeko yamazwe ngamazwe itshintsha njani, iimfuno zoqoqosho kunye norhwebo zamacala omabini zisanxibelelene kakhulu. I-China kunye ne-EU kufuneka ziphucule ukuthembana kunye nonxibelelwano kuwo onke amanqanaba, kwaye zifake "izinzisa" ngakumbi kukhuseleko lwemixokelelwane yokubonelela macala omabini kunye nehlabathi liphela. Urhwebo lwamazwe amabini kulindeleke ukuba lugcine ukukhula unyaka wonke.
Ukususela ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka, intsebenziswano kwezoqoqosho nakwezorhwebo phakathi kweTshayina ne-EU ibonakalise ukuqina kunye namandla. “Kwisiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka, ukuxhomekeka kwe-EU kwizinto ezithunyelwa yiTshayina kuye kwanda.” UCai Tongjuan, umphandi kwiChongyang Institute for Financial Studies kwiYunivesithi yaseRenmin yaseTshayina kunye nosekela-mlawuli weSebe loPhando lweMacro, uhlalutye kudliwanondlebe nentatheli evela kwi-International Business Daily. Isizathu esiphambili yingxabano ye-EU eRashiya nase-Ukraine kunye nempembelelo yezohlwayo eRashiya. Izinga lokusebenza kweshishini lokuvelisa eliphantsi liye lehla, kwaye liye laxhomekeka ngakumbi kwizinto ezithunyelwa ngaphandle. Kwelinye icala, iTshayina iye yamelana novavanyo lobhubhane, kwaye utyando lwemizi-mveliso yasekhaya kunye notyando lokubonelela luphelele kwaye lusebenza ngokuqhelekileyo. Ukongeza, uloliwe wokuthutha impahla phakathi kweTshayina neYurophu ukwalungise izikhewu kwezothutho lwaselwandle nolwemoya ezichaphazeleka lula yibhubhane, waqinisekisa uthutho olungenakuphazamiseka phakathi kweTshayina neYurophu, kwaye wenza igalelo elikhulu kwintsebenziswano yorhwebo phakathi kweTshayina neYurophu.
Ukususela kwinqanaba elincinci, iinkampani zaseYurophu ezifana neBMW, iAudi kunye neAirbus ziqhubekile nokwandisa amashishini azo eTshayina kulo nyaka. Uphando malunga nezicwangciso zophuhliso lweenkampani zaseYurophu eTshayina lubonisa ukuba i-19% yeenkampani zaseYurophu eTshayina zithe zandise ubungakanani bemisebenzi yazo yemveliso ekhoyo, kwaye i-65% zithe zigcine ubungakanani bemisebenzi yazo yemveliso. Eli shishini likholelwa ukuba oku kubonisa ukuzithemba okuqinileyo kweenkampani zaseYurophu ekutyaleni imali eTshayina, ukuqina kophuhliso loqoqosho lwaseTshayina kunye nemarike yasekhaya eqinileyo esakhanga kwiinkampani zamazwe ngamazwe zaseYurophu.
Kubalulekile ukuqaphela ukuba inkqubela phambili yakutshanje yokunyuka kwenzala yeBhanki ePhakathi yaseYurophu kunye noxinzelelo oluphantsi kwi-euro lunokuba nefuthe elininzi kwiimpahla ezithunyelwa ngaphandle kunye neempahla ezivela kwamanye amazwe eTshayina-EU. “Impembelelo yokwehla kwexabiso le-euro kurhwebo lweSino-European sele ibonakale ngoJulayi nango-Agasti, kwaye izinga lokukhula korhwebo lweSino-European kwezi nyanga zimbini liye lehla xa lithelekiswa nesiqingatha sokuqala sonyaka.” UCai Tongjuan uqikelela ukuba ukuba i-euro iyaqhubeka nokwehla, iya kwenza “Yenziwe eTshayina” Ibiza kakhulu, iya kuba nefuthe kwii-odolo zokuthumela ngaphandle zaseTshayina kwi-EU kwikota yesine; kwangaxeshanye, ukwehla kwexabiso le-euro kuya kwenza “Yenziwe eYurophu” ingabizi kakhulu, nto leyo eya kunceda ukwandisa ukungeniswa kweTshayina kwi-EU, ukunciphisa ukusilela korhwebo lwe-EU neTshayina, kunye nokukhuthaza urhwebo lweChina-EU lube nolungelelwano ngakumbi. Ukujonga phambili, kuseyindlela eqhelekileyo yokuba iTshayina kunye ne-EU bomeleze intsebenziswano yezoqoqosho kunye norhwebo.
Ixesha lokuthumela: Septemba-16-2022
