Txawm hais tias muaj kev sib kis ntau zaus ntawm COVID-19, kev rov zoo ntawm kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb tsis muaj zog, thiab kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv ntiaj teb, kev lag luam xa khoom thiab xa tawm ntawm Tuam Tshoj-EU tseem ua tiav kev loj hlob tsis zoo. Raws li cov ntaub ntawv tshaj tawm los ntawm General Administration of Customs tsis ntev los no, EU yog Tuam Tshoj tus khub lag luam thib ob loj tshaj plaws hauv yim lub hlis thawj zaug. Tag nrho cov nqi lag luam ntawm Tuam Tshoj thiab EU yog 3.75 trillion yuan, nce ntxiv 9.5% txhua xyoo, suav txog 13.7% ntawm Tuam Tshoj tus nqi lag luam txawv teb chaws tag nrho. Cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Eurostat qhia tau hais tias nyob rau hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo, qhov ntim lag luam ntawm 27 lub tebchaws EU nrog Tuam Tshoj yog 413.9 billion euros, nce ntxiv 28.3%. Ntawm lawv, EU xa khoom mus rau Tuam Tshoj yog 112.2 billion euros, poob qis 0.4%; kev xa khoom los ntawm Tuam Tshoj yog 301.7 billion euros, nce 43.3%.
Raws li cov kws tshaj lij uas tau xam phaj, cov ntaub ntawv no lees paub qhov kev sib koom ua ke thiab lub peev xwm ntawm kev lag luam thiab kev lag luam ntawm Tuam Tshoj-EU. Txawm hais tias qhov xwm txheej thoob ntiaj teb hloov pauv li cas los xij, kev lag luam thiab kev lag luam ntawm ob tog tseem sib txuas lus zoo. Tuam Tshoj thiab EU yuav tsum txhim kho kev ntseeg siab thiab kev sib txuas lus ntawm txhua qib, thiab ntxiv cov "stabilizers" rau hauv kev ruaj ntseg ntawm ob tog thiab txawm tias thoob ntiaj teb cov khoom xa tuaj. Kev lag luam ob tog yuav tsum tswj hwm kev loj hlob thoob plaws hauv xyoo.
Txij li thaum pib ntawm lub xyoo no, kev koom tes hauv kev lag luam thiab kev lag luam ntawm Tuam Tshoj thiab EU tau qhia txog kev ua siab ntev thiab kev muaj zog. "Hauv thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo, EU txoj kev vam khom rau Tuam Tshoj cov khoom xa tuaj tau nce ntxiv." Cai Tongjuan, tus kws tshawb fawb ntawm Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies ntawm Renmin University of China thiab tus lwm thawj coj ntawm Macro Research Department, tau tshuaj xyuas hauv kev xam phaj nrog tus neeg sau xov xwm los ntawm International Business Daily. Qhov laj thawj tseem ceeb yog EU kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv Russia thiab Ukraine thiab kev cuam tshuam ntawm kev rau txim rau Russia. Tus nqi ua haujlwm ntawm kev lag luam tsim khoom qis dua tau poob qis, thiab nws tau dhau los ua kev vam khom rau kev xa tuaj. Tuam Tshoj, ntawm qhov tod tes, tau tiv taus qhov kev sim ntawm tus kab mob sib kis, thiab cov saw hlau kev lag luam hauv tsev thiab cov saw hlau muab khoom tau ua tiav thiab ua haujlwm ib txwm. Tsis tas li ntawd, lub tsheb ciav hlau thauj khoom Tuam Tshoj-Tebchaws Europe kuj tau ua rau muaj qhov sib txawv hauv kev thauj mus los hauv hiav txwv thiab huab cua uas yooj yim cuam tshuam los ntawm tus kab mob sib kis, ua kom muaj kev thauj mus los tsis tu ncua ntawm Tuam Tshoj thiab Tebchaws Europe, thiab tau ua rau muaj kev koom tes zoo rau kev koom tes hauv kev lag luam ntawm Tuam Tshoj thiab Tebchaws Europe.
Los ntawm theem me me, cov tuam txhab European xws li BMW, Audi thiab Airbus txuas ntxiv nthuav lawv txoj kev lag luam hauv Suav teb xyoo no. Ib daim ntawv ntsuam xyuas txog cov phiaj xwm kev txhim kho ntawm cov tuam txhab European hauv Suav teb qhia tau hais tias 19% ntawm cov tuam txhab European hauv Suav teb tau hais tias lawv tau nthuav dav qhov loj ntawm lawv cov haujlwm tsim khoom uas twb muaj lawm, thiab 65% tau hais tias lawv tau tswj hwm qhov loj ntawm lawv cov haujlwm tsim khoom. Kev lag luam ntseeg tias qhov no qhia txog kev ntseeg siab ntawm cov tuam txhab European hauv kev nqis peev hauv Suav teb, kev ua haujlwm ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam thiab kev ua lag luam hauv tsev muaj zog uas tseem nyiam cov tuam txhab European thoob ntiaj teb.
Nws yog ib qho tsim nyog sau tseg tias qhov kev nce qib tsis ntev los no ntawm European Central Bank qhov kev nce nqi paj laum thiab kev nyuaj siab rau euro yuav muaj ntau yam cuam tshuam rau Tuam Tshoj-EU cov khoom xa tuaj thiab xa tawm. "Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm kev poob qis ntawm euro rau kev lag luam Sino-European twb tau tshwm sim hauv Lub Xya Hli thiab Lub Yim Hli, thiab qhov kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam Sino-European hauv ob lub hlis no tau poob qis piv rau thawj ib nrab ntawm lub xyoo." Cai Tongjuan kwv yees tias yog tias euro txuas ntxiv poob qis, nws yuav ua rau "Ua nyob rau hauv Suav teb" kim heev, nws yuav muaj kev cuam tshuam rau Tuam Tshoj cov xaj xa tawm mus rau EU hauv lub quarter thib plaub; tib lub sijhawm, kev poob qis ntawm euro yuav ua rau "Ua nyob rau hauv Tebchaws Europe" pheej yig, uas yuav pab ua rau Tuam Tshoj cov khoom xa tuaj ntawm EU ntau ntxiv, txo EU qhov kev lag luam tsis txaus nrog Tuam Tshoj, thiab txhawb kev lag luam Tuam Tshoj-EU tau sib npaug ntau dua. Saib mus tom ntej, nws tseem yog qhov sib txawv rau Tuam Tshoj thiab EU los txhawb kev koom tes kev lag luam thiab kev lag luam.
Lub sijhawm tshaj tawm: Cuaj hlis-16-2022